Mazatlan vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mazatlan v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Mazatlan vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mazatlan 0-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM nicked a narrow win over Mazatlan 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Pumas UNAM saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.21 to 1.56 — on chances created, Pumas UNAM won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Mazatlan against 1.67 for Pumas UNAM.
Mazatlan vs Pumas UNAM Result & Final Score
Mazatlan 0 - 1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mazatlan vs Pumas UNAM Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 27%, draw 28%, Pumas UNAM 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.