Queretaro vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
3-3
HT 2-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
2-3
HT 0-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
Queretaro 3-2 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro edged past Santos Laguna 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Queretaro as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Queretaro had 37% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 63%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.40 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Queretaro's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queretaro and 1.33 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Santos Laguna?
Queretaro 3-2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 41%, draw 27%, Santos Laguna 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queretaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.