Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.11
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.5 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ismaily
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
15.02.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 2-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
03.04.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
08.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
15.05.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
31.10.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1-0
AWAY Ismaily
1.25 xG 0.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
305 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra edged past Ismaily 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 51% of the ball to Ismaily's 49%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.17 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ismaily?

Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 45%, draw 31%, Ismaily 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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