Raufoss 0-1 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.01
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 30% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.35/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.06
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
17 · 100% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 34 · 100%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
07.10.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
07.06.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-4 HT 0-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOK
16.05.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
04.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
07.07.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen nicked a narrow win over Raufoss 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Raufoss at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raufoss had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Raufoss and 1.00 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Mjondalen?

Raufoss 0-1 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 46%, draw 25%, Mjondalen 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Raufoss), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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