Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 31%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
-28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
26.08.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 HT 0-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
12.03.2021 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
05.09.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-3 HT 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
30.11.2019 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-3 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
29.06.2019 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 HT 0-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0-1
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice squeezed past Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 57% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 43%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.67 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 46%, draw 24%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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