Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
55%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
54%
Away Win
49%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 53%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.00
-21% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-1
AWAY Polonia Bytom
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Polonia Bytom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 37% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 63%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Bytom?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 22%, draw 23%, Polonia Bytom 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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