KAMAZ 3-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.65
+23% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
09.09.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
23.08.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 3-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
3-1
AWAY Sokol Saratov
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ got the better of Sokol Saratov 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KAMAZ as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 58% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 42%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KAMAZ and 0.67 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Sokol Saratov?

KAMAZ 3-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 46%, draw 32%, Sokol Saratov 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KAMAZ) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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