Radnicki Nis 2-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.06/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.20
-23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.4 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
15.04.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
10.11.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.02.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
12.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-3 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.02.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
2-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.58 xG 0.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
431 Passes 204
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis edged past Novi Pazar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Radnicki Nis as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 65% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 35%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.58 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Radnicki Nis and 1.50 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Novi Pazar?

Radnicki Nis 2-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 48%, draw 25%, Novi Pazar 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki Nis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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