Cerro 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.48
+27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Cerro URU
04.09.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
18.07.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Cerro URU
18.02.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
14.03.2021 Cerro Cerro 2-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
13.09.2020 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-0
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 50%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro and 1.67 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Cerro 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cerro 37%, draw 31%, Deportivo Maldonado 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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