Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

Racing Club Montevideo
0-2 HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
43%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.3pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.3pp
43%
Away Win
59%
-15.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.1pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 62%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
0.97/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.83
+21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-2 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
06.10.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.07.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
27.02.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
23.09.2019 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
31.05.2018 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 5-0 HT 3-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU

Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football beat Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 48% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 52%, shots finished 3-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 3.17 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 22%, draw 35%, Nacional de Football 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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