AEK Atina 3-0 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

AEK Atina
3-0 HT 2-0
Asteras Tripolis
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.7
X/1
17%
3.34
X/2
6%
18.55
X/X
10%
6.77
2/1
12%
24.85
2/2
10%
15.75
2/X
7%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AEK Atina v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
2.05/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.59
+9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
25.3 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.82 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
398 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.02.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-2 HT 3-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
22.10.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
25.02.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
06.11.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
06.03.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
11.12.2021 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

AEK Atina 3-0 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
3-0
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
3.91 xG 0.30
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
549 Passes 131
92% Pass Accuracy 63%
39 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina swept aside Asteras Tripolis 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 74% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 26%, shots finished 29-4, expected goals 3.91 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.67 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis?

AEK Atina 3-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 54%, draw 24%, Asteras Tripolis 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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