Panaitolikos 2-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.9
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
14%
6.19
X/2
12%
4.64
X/X
18%
3.94
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.26
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.00/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
-44% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.3 Crosses 15.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.66 xG 1.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
246 Passes 477
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
13.02.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
14.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
24.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
29.12.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.08.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
2-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.06 xG 0.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
285 Passes 469
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos edged past Aris Saloniki 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Panaitolikos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 40% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 60%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.67 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panaitolikos 2-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 35%, draw 30%, Aris Saloniki 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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