CD Guadalajara 1-1 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -22%
1.48/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.03
+8% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lugo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.06.2013 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
06.01.2013 Lugo Lugo 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
1-1
AWAY Lugo
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara and Lugo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Guadalajara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 48% of the ball to Lugo's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for CD Guadalajara and 0.50 for Lugo.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Lugo?

CD Guadalajara 1-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 43%, draw 26%, Lugo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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