Marbella 1-2 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.52/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.36
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alcorcon
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2025 Marbella Marbella 3-3 HT 0-2 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-2
AWAY Alcorcon
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon squeezed past Marbella 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Marbella at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 57% of the ball to Alcorcon's 43%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Alcorcon?

Marbella 1-2 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marbella 42%, draw 26%, Alcorcon 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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