Marbella 3-3 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.42
-28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
3-3
AWAY Alcorcon
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella and Alcorcon couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 58% of the ball to Alcorcon's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Alcorcon?

Marbella 3-3 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marbella 39%, draw 30%, Alcorcon 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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