Antequera 2-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antequera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.40/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.73
+21% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antequera
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Antequera Antequera 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
10.12.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS3
POST-MATCH Antequera vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera nicked a narrow win over Real Murcia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Antequera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antequera and 1.50 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Antequera vs Real Murcia?

Antequera 2-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antequera vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Antequera 35%, draw 26%, Real Murcia 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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