Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.02/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.19
-20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.03.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-2 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
11.11.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS4
14.03.2021 Barakaldo Barakaldo 3-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
03.01.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-0 HT 1-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
14.12.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 HT 0-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0-2
AWAY Barakaldo
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo saw off Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Barakaldo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 45% of the ball to Barakaldo's 55%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.20 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Barakaldo?

Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 38%, draw 28%, Barakaldo 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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