Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barakaldo v Athletic Bilbao II — Team-Based Signals
Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Barakaldo
İS4
3-1
HT 2-1
Athletic Bilbao II
İS3
3-0
HT 1-0
Barakaldo
İS3
0-1
HT 0-1
Barakaldo
İS3
Barakaldo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past Barakaldo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Athletic Bilbao II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Barakaldo had 49% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 51%, shots finished 18-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Barakaldo and 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao II.
What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II?
Barakaldo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 40%, draw 31%, Athletic Bilbao II 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.