San Roque 2-1 Mar Menor CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
47%
+7.8pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Roque EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mar Menor CF EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.00/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.08
-21% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Roque
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mar Menor CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Mar Menor CF 2-1 HT 2-0 San Roque San Roque İS4
22.01.2023 San Roque San Roque 1-0 HT 0-0 Mar Menor CF İS4
04.09.2022 Mar Menor CF 2-1 HT 0-1 San Roque San Roque İS4
POST-MATCH San Roque vs Mar Menor CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Roque edged past Mar Menor CF 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Roque as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mar Menor CF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Roque and 1.33 for Mar Menor CF.

What was the final score of San Roque vs Mar Menor CF?

San Roque 2-1 Mar Menor CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Roque vs Mar Menor CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Roque win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split San Roque 55%, draw 22%, Mar Menor CF 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Roque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Roque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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