Merida AD 3-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.31/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.20
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Merida AD Merida AD 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
30.11.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 6-0 HT 2-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
11.02.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
23.09.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
19.03.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
15.10.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD swept aside Real Madrid II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Merida AD made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Merida AD had 40% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 60%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Merida AD and 1.33 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Real Madrid II?

Merida AD 3-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 38%, draw 28%, Real Madrid II 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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