Real Madrid II 0-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.02/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.32
+26% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Merida AD
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
19.03.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
15.10.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
0-1
AWAY Merida AD
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 58% of the ball to Merida AD's 42%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Madrid II and 0.33 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Merida AD?

Real Madrid II 0-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 53%, draw 24%, Merida AD 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Over 2.5
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