Marino De Luanco 1-1 Sarriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarriana EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.01
+4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-1
AWAY Sarriana
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Sarriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco and Sarriana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Marino De Luanco at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 44% of the ball to Sarriana's 56%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Sarriana?

Marino De Luanco 1-1 Sarriana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Sarriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 46%, draw 29%, Sarriana 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5
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