Atalanta 0-3 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 9 Nov 2025

Atalanta
0-3 HT 0-1
Sassuolo
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.1
Over
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
3.93
2-3
35%
1.84
4-5
26%
3.05
6+
16%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.93 — our 23% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.82
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.45
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
6%
12.85
X/X
9%
6.24
2/1
12%
21.8
2/2
7%
10.55
2/X
5%
18.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Atalanta v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo The Market 19%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.85 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.24
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.90
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.8 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.25 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
419 Passes 397
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
03.01.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
20.08.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-2 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.02.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
15.10.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
10.04.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Atalanta 0-3 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
0-3
AWAY Sassuolo
0.91 xG 2.02
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
582 Passes 247
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atalanta vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sassuolo swept aside Atalanta 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atalanta at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, possession split 67% to 33% in Atalanta's favour, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.91 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Atalanta against 0.83 for Sassuolo.

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Result & Final Score

Atalanta 0-3 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 62%, draw 20%, Sassuolo 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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