Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Sassuolo
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-1
HT 2-1
Sassuolo
İTA
Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta cruised past Sassuolo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Atalanta had 57% of the ball to Sassuolo's 43%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 4.48 to 1.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atalanta and 1.00 for Sassuolo.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 55%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.