Hellas Verona 2-2 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.98
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.81
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
17.5
X/1
8%
9.7
X/2
15%
3.6
X/X
13%
4.03
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.23
2/X
5%
16.4
Value flag · 1/X at 17.5 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Juventus win — 47%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 58%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
0.88/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.15
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.3 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Juventus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
01.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
10.11.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
06.02.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
30.10.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 2-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
27.02.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
2-2
AWAY Juventus
0.57 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 393
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona and Juventus shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 44% of the ball to Juventus's 56%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.57 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.17 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Juventus?

Hellas Verona 2-2 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 25%, draw 27%, Juventus 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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