Union Brescia 0-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
7%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.83/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.08
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Brescia
0-1
AWAY Alcione
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Brescia vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione squeezed past Union Brescia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Union Brescia carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Brescia had 53% of the ball to Alcione's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Union Brescia vs Alcione?

Union Brescia 0-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Brescia vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Union Brescia 62%, draw 23%, Alcione 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Brescia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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