Perugia 0-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
21.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.25 — our 24% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.96
-68% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Arezzo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
27.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTCK
22.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
18.12.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
31.01.2021 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
05.10.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-0
AWAY Arezzo
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia and Arezzo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 41% of the ball to Arezzo's 59%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perugia and 1.00 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Arezzo?

Perugia 0-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perugia 26%, draw 26%, Arezzo 48%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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