Perugia 1-2 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.6
6+ Goals
10%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
18.12.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
31.01.2021 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
05.10.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
21.05.2005 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
19.12.2004 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
1-2
AWAY Arezzo
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo nicked a narrow win over Perugia 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Arezzo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Perugia had 51% of the ball to Arezzo's 49%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perugia and 0.50 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Arezzo?

Perugia 1-2 Arezzo in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Perugia 36%, draw 28%, Arezzo 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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