Arezzo 2-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.87
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.04
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Perugia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTCK
22.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
18.12.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
31.01.2021 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
05.10.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
21.05.2005 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
2-0
AWAY Perugia
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo beat Perugia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Arezzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arezzo had 49% of the ball to Perugia's 51%, shots finished 9-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arezzo and 1.33 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Perugia?

Arezzo 2-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 39%, draw 29%, Perugia 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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