Pro Vercelli 3-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.84
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.23/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.22
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Triestina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
05.10.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
20.01.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
16.09.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.01.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
17.09.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
3-1
AWAY Triestina
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli got the better of Triestina 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pro Vercelli as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 53% of the ball to Triestina's 47%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.33 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Triestina?

Pro Vercelli 3-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 43%, draw 28%, Triestina 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Vercelli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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