Freiburg 2-1 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2025

Freiburg
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
St. Pauli
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.74
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.0
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
5%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.36
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.29
X/2
8%
9.12
X/X
16%
4.74
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.46
2/X
5%
15.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Freiburg v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Freiburg The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.90 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
454 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.02.2025 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
28.09.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
19.10.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AFK
10.04.2016 Freiburg Freiburg 4-3 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
25.10.2015 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL2
15.01.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-2 HT 1-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1

Freiburg 2-1 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg
2 - 1
AWAY St. Pauli
1.02 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
503 Passes 282
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Freiburg vs St. Pauli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Freiburg edged past St. Pauli 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: Freiburg had 60% of the ball to St. Pauli's 40%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.02 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Freiburg and 1.67 for St. Pauli.

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Result & Final Score

Freiburg 2 - 1 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 55%, draw 26%, St. Pauli 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Under 2.5
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