Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
AL2
3-0
HT 3-0
Holstein Kiel
AL2
1-2
HT 0-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
2-2
HT 1-1
Holstein Kiel
AL2
Holstein Kiel 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics
Holstein Kiel nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Holstein Kiel as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 44% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 56%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.89 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.33 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Holstein Kiel 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 53%, draw 23%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.