Magdeburg 0-1 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
57%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
57%
Away Win
50%
+6.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 55%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.87/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.11
+61% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 84%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
11.3 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Paderborn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
368 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Paderborn Paderborn 2-1 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
14.12.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.03.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 0-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
22.09.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.03.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
0-1
AWAY Paderborn
1.59 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
442 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn nicked a narrow win over Magdeburg 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 57% of the ball to Paderborn's 43%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.59 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Magdeburg and 0.83 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Paderborn?

Magdeburg 0-1 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 23%, draw 20%, Paderborn 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025
15:30 Braunschweig vs Bochum Analysis →
15:30 Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis →