Paderborn 2-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.75
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.34
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.93
X/2
11%
8.8
X/X
8%
6.49
2/1
11%
19.45
2/2
13%
5.68
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +16%
1.95/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.83
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.9 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.76 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
298 Passes 349
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.03.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 0-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
22.09.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.03.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
24.02.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
2-1
AWAY Magdeburg
2.06 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
393 Passes 298
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn squeezed past Magdeburg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Paderborn had 56% of the ball to Magdeburg's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.06 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paderborn and 0.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Magdeburg?

Paderborn 2-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 45%, draw 23%, Magdeburg 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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