Elversberg 3-0 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.86
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
17%
4.19
X/2
7%
12.1
X/X
7%
6.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.1
2/2
9%
9.2
2/X
7%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
2.67/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
+15% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.9 Crosses 16.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
414 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-3 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
30.03.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 5-0 HT 2-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
20.10.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 3-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
3-0
AWAY Braunschweig
2.70 xG 0.25
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
545 Passes 199
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
46 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg swept aside Braunschweig 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Elversberg had 68% of the ball to Braunschweig's 32%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.70 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elversberg and 1.67 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Braunschweig?

Elversberg 3-0 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 58%, draw 21%, Braunschweig 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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