Braunschweig 0-3 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.55
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
8%
6.88
X/2
14%
5.01
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
20%
2.92
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.39/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.31
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
216 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
20.4 Crosses 26.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 428
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 5-0 HT 2-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
20.10.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 3-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
0-3
AWAY Elversberg
0.80 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg ran out comfortable winners over Braunschweig 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 46% of the ball to Elversberg's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.80 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Braunschweig and 1.50 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Elversberg?

Braunschweig 0-3 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 32%, draw 26%, Elversberg 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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