Greuther Fürth 1-0 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 26% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.6
1/2
8%
23.4
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
7.14
X/2
16%
5.14
X/X
12%
5.23
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
2.89
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -11%
1.42/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.43
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.6 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hannover 96
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
349 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
03.09.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 0-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.03.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
28.08.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
27.02.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
01.11.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-1 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
1-0
AWAY Hannover 96
0.81 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth edged past Hannover 96 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Greuther Fürth found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 52% of the ball to Hannover 96's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.81 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.83 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Hannover 96?

Greuther Fürth 1-0 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 33%, draw 28%, Hannover 96 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hannover 96), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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