Hamburg 6-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.06
2-3 Goals
39%
2.23
4-5 Goals
27%
2.42
6+ Goals
11%
4.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.63
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.95
X/1
13%
4.29
X/2
8%
15.1
X/X
8%
8.76
2/1
5%
17.75
2/2
11%
10.75
2/X
7%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.4pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.4pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.01/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.83
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.6 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
355 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
6-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
2.51 xG 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 303
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg cruised past Ulm 1846 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hamburg had 48% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 52%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.51 to 2.33.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Ulm 1846?

Hamburg 6-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 52%, draw 24%, Ulm 1846 24%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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