W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-4 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Nov 2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-4 HT 1-2
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.8pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-5.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.07/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.28
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
16.2 Crosses 18.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
05.01.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 4-4 HT 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
16.02.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-4 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-4
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.11 xG 1.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
206 Passes 315
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) ran out comfortable winners over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 42% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 2.17 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-4 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 23%, draw 19%, Melbourne Victory (K) 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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