Khalidiya 2-1 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.83/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.56
+52% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sitra
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2025 Sitra Sitra 2-0 HT 2-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
18.04.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
23.02.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
13.02.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 4-1 HT 3-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
24.09.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
15.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
2-1
AWAY Sitra
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya squeezed past Sitra 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Khalidiya had 49% of the ball to Sitra's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Khalidiya and 1.17 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Sitra?

Khalidiya 2-1 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 58%, draw 21%, Sitra 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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