St. Truidense 1-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.85
X/2
15%
7.6
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
2/2
8%
5.48
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.74/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.50
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.6 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
481 Passes 337
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
02.11.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
12.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-3 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
27.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
30.07.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense nicked a narrow win over Standard Liege 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Truidense and 1.50 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Standard Liege?

St. Truidense 1-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 47%, draw 25%, Standard Liege 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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