Gent 1-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Nov 2025

Gent
1-1 HT 0-1
Genk
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.45
1/2
10%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
6.81
X/2
10%
5.49
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.18
2/X
6%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +31%
1.39/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.42
-21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
17.6 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Genk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Gent Gent 1-4 HT 1-2 Genk Genk BEL
30.03.2025 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
23.02.2025 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
27.10.2024 Gent Gent 0-2 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
02.06.2024 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.12.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Genk
1.26 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
357 Passes 590
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Genk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gent had 40% of the ball to Genk's 60%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.26 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gent and 2.00 for Genk.

What was the final score of Gent vs Genk?

Gent 1-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gent 31%, draw 26%, Genk 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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