Gent 1-4 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 May 2025

Gent
1-4 HT 1-2
Genk
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.56
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.52
6+ Goals
11%
5.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.66
1/2
8%
20.3
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
11%
7.61
X/2
12%
5.3
X/X
9%
6.33
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
27%
2.68
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.39/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.30
-22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.6 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
23.02.2025 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
27.10.2024 Gent Gent 0-2 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
02.06.2024 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.12.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.10.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-4
AWAY Genk
1.37 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
402 Passes 506
88% Pass Accuracy 92%
26 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gent vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk cruised past Gent 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gent had 46% of the ball to Genk's 54%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gent and 1.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Gent vs Genk?

Gent 1-4 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gent 30%, draw 23%, Genk 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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