Anderlecht 1-3 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.27
1/2
10%
21.9
1/X
8%
15.6
X/1
10%
9.5
X/2
18%
4.36
X/X
15%
5.6
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.21
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 58%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.04/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.06
-33% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
19.2 Crosses 19.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 1.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
30.03.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
27.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
19.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
07.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-3
AWAY Club Brugge
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge beat Anderlecht 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 51% of the ball to Club Brugge's 49%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Anderlecht and 2.17 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Club Brugge?

Anderlecht 1-3 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 27%, draw 29%, Club Brugge 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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18 May 2025
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