Club Brugge 2-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
12%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.26
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
13%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
38%
4.36
X/2
5%
9.86
X/X
6%
4.66
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.1
2/X
3%
15.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.36 — our 38% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.01/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.59
-9% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.5 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Anderlecht
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 375
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
27.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
19.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
07.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
25.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-1
AWAY Anderlecht
1.54 xG 1.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
383 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Anderlecht 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 52% of the ball to Anderlecht's 48%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.54 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Club Brugge and 0.67 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Club Brugge 2-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Cup on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 58%, draw 23%, Anderlecht 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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