Anderlecht 0-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.39
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.61
X/2
14%
5.0
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
16%
2.98
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.03/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.21
-12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
13.6 Crosses 21.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
25.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.09.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
15.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.10.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
22.05.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
0-1
AWAY Club Brugge
0.82 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
388 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge squeezed past Anderlecht 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Club Brugge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 51% of the ball to Club Brugge's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anderlecht and 1.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Club Brugge?

Anderlecht 0-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 37%, draw 25%, Club Brugge 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
19 May 2024
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