Mechelen 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Nov 2025

Mechelen
1-1 HT 0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
63%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.95
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
5%
11.7
X/2
15%
4.13
X/X
11%
6.35
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
39%
1.9
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.95 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
18%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
63%
Away Win
61%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 66%
+15% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.43/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.79
+31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
18.4 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
02.11.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
17.12.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 4-0 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
19.03.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
06.08.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Mechelen 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.16 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
314 Passes 398
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Union Saint-Gilloise carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mechelen had 45% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 55%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.16 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mechelen and 0.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Mechelen 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 15%, draw 22%, Union Saint-Gilloise 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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