Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.75/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.10
+27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses 20.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-2
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
197 Passes 380
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma nicked a narrow win over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 40% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 60%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 50%, draw 24%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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