Tochigi SC 2-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 43%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.28
-51% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 228
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2025 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
22.09.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
21.04.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
22.09.2019 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-1 HT 2-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
2-0
AWAY Kagoshima United
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
226 Passes 289
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC saw off Kagoshima United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Tochigi SC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 46% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 54%, shots finished 13-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.25 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Kagoshima United?

Tochigi SC 2-0 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 35%, draw 26%, Kagoshima United 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
9 Nov 2025
08:00 Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
08:00 Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga Analysis →
08:00 Sagamihara vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →
08:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United Analysis →
10:00 Ryukyu vs Azul Claro Numazu Analysis →
13:00 FC Gifu vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →