Kochi United 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kochi United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 32%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.18/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.06
-86% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 16.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kochi United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
102 Passes 323
55% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-5 HT 0-5 Kochi United Kochi United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kochi United
0-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
220 Passes 160
66% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga squeezed past Kochi United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kochi United had 55% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 45%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Kochi United 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kochi United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kochi United 39%, draw 28%, Matsumoto Yamaga 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kochi United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kochi United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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